Sun [New] (SUN) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Buyback Mechanics & Supply Dynamics (Bullish)

Overview:
SUN burns 100% of revenue from SunSwap (DEX) and SunPerp (perpetuals) – 639M tokens destroyed since 2021, including 1.65M in August-September 2025. This reduces circulating supply by ~3.3%, with monthly burns averaging 3-4M SUN.

What this means:
Scarcity from burns could lift prices if demand remains stable. However, burn rate relies on platform revenue: SunSwap’s 7D volume fell 35% to $667M (Sept 30), while SunPerp’s beta saw $900M volume. Sustained DeFi activity is critical.

2. SunPerp Launch & TRON’s DeFi 2.0 Push (Mixed)

Overview:
TRON’s new perpetual DEX, SunPerp, offers zero gas fees and cross-chain trading. It plans to expand to 200 trading pairs and integrate Ethereum/Solana assets by Q4 2025.

What this means:
Success could mirror GMX’s growth (+300% TVL in 2023), driving SUN utility as revenue fuels burns. However, competition from dYdX and regulatory scrutiny of perpetuals pose risks.

3. Exchange Listings & Sentiment (Neutral)

Overview:
SUN gained 36% after September 2025 listings on Upbit and Bithumb, now available on 8 top exchanges. However, RSI (49.45) and MACD (-0.000338) show neutral momentum.

What this means:
Listings improve liquidity but haven’t reversed the 3.57% weekly price drop. Watch for sustained Korean retail interest and whether the Fear & Greed Index (59) shifts toward greed.

Conclusion

SUN’s price will likely swing on SunPerp’s adoption and TRON’s ability to retain DeFi market share against BSC/Solana rivals. The buyback engine offers structural support, but macro crypto trends (BTC dominance 58.3%) and regulatory shifts for stablecoins (USDD) are wildcards.

Key question: Will SunPerp’s Q4 volume surpass $2B, accelerating burns beyond 4M SUN/month?