SuperWalk (GRND) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Auto-Burn & GRND DeFi Launch (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
SuperWalk’s BNB-inspired auto-burn mechanism has incinerated 2.6M GRND (~$404K at peak prices) historically, with 3.47M GRND slated for burning post-2nd anniversary. The upcoming GRND DeFi integration (Q4 2025) allows xGRND staking on platforms like DragonSwap, potentially locking supply and boosting utility.

What this means:
Deflationary pressure from burns (targeting 6-10% annual reduction) and staking incentives could counterbalance inflation from remaining 281M unclaimed tokens. Successful DeFi adoption might mirror Platypus Finance’s 2023 TVL surge, but depends on APR competitiveness.

2. Oversold Conditions & Weak Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
GRND’s 7-day RSI (12.96) and 21-day RSI (26.13) indicate extreme oversold territory – historically a contrarian buy signal. However, price sits 19% below 30-day SMA ($0.048) and 23% under 200-day SMA ($0.0566), showing entrenched bearish structure.

What this means:
While technicals suggest a near-term bounce (MACD histogram contraction hints at slowing downward momentum), sustained recovery needs bullish catalyst. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0479 aligns with EMA resistance – a key level to watch.

3. Move-to-Earn Sector Contraction (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
The global M2E market shrunk 62% YoY to $268M in 2025 (DappRadar). Despite SuperWalk’s 80% M+1 retention (vs Strava’s 9%), WALK token’s 11% inflation gap and rival projects like StepN diversifying into gaming heighten competition.

What this means:
GRND’s 54% YoY price drop reflects broader sector woes. Success hinges on converting 350K cumulative users to DeFi participants – only 89% WALK recirculation suggests weak organic demand. Partnership revenue ($10K/month VIP pools) appears insufficient for meaningful buybacks.

Conclusion

GRND’s fate balances between aggressive supply reduction (burns/DeFi) and fading M2E hype. While technicals hint at oversold bounce potential, sector-wide headwinds and inflationary tokenomics demand caution.

Can GRND DeFi TVL surpass $5M by December 2025 to validate its pivot from pure M2E?