Latest TAC Protocol (TAC) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Post-Mainnet Profit-Taking (Bearish Impact)

Overview: TAC’s mainnet launched July 15, 2025, with its token surging 50% to $0.0248 initially. However, the rally reversed as early participants—including Summoning Campaign liquidity providers who received 3.3% of the supply at TGE—began selling.

What this means: The $800M pre-launch liquidity campaign (TAC Summoning) created a concentrated holder base. With 18% of tokens circulating at launch, even modest selling pressure in low-liquidity markets (24h volume: $3.17M) triggered sharp declines.

What to watch: On-chain wallet activity for large holders and exchange inflow spikes.

2. Bearish Technical Breakdown (Mixed Impact)

Overview: TAC broke below its 7-day SMA ($0.00554) and 30-day SMA ($0.00783). The RSI (34.27) indicates oversold conditions, but the MACD histogram (-0.00011797) shows bearish momentum persists.

What this means: Traders are reacting to the loss of the $0.005 psychological level. Fibonacci retracement suggests next support near the 78.6% level ($0.00341), but oversold RSI could invite short-term rebounds.

Key level: A close above $0.00519 (pivot point) could signal stabilization.

3. Market-Wide Risk-Off Sentiment (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Crypto’s total market cap fell 3.15% in 24h, with Bitcoin dominance rising to 59.01%. The Altcoin Season Index dropped 34.55% weekly, signaling capital rotation to BTC.

What this means: TAC’s high beta (-7.1% vs. market’s -3.15%) reflects its riskier profile. Traders are exiting altcoins amid rising leverage liquidations ($955B open interest) and stablecoin regulatory uncertainty (GENIUS Act).

Conclusion

TAC’s drop combines project-specific profit-taking with sector-wide caution. While the mainnet’s long-term potential remains (Telegram’s 1B+ user base, EVM integration), near-term risks include unlocked token supply and low liquidity.

Key watch: Monitor TAC’s TVL growth on deployed DeFi protocols (Curve, Morpho) for signs of organic usage beyond speculative trading. A sustained break below $0.0045 could invite deeper corrections.

Deep Dive

1. Exchange Listings & Liquidity Incentives (Bullish Impact)

Overview: TAC was listed on Bitrue (July 25) and expanded availability on Binance Alpha, Bybit, and Wallet in Telegram. A 9M TAC CandyBomb campaign (trade-to-earn rewards) and $800M+ liquidity bootstrapping via Turtle Club created immediate demand.

What this means: Listings improve accessibility, while liquidity incentives reduce sell pressure by locking tokens in DeFi protocols like Curve and Morpho. The 0.229 turnover ratio (trading volume vs. market cap) signals active speculation.

Key watch: Sustained volume post-campaigns – a drop below $2M daily could indicate fading momentum.

2. Staking Demand & Yield Farming (Mixed Impact)

Overview: TAC’s 8–10% base staking APY and limited-time campaigns (e.g., 120% APY via Telegram Wallet) incentivize holding. Over 60% of supply is staked, reducing circulating liquidity.

What this means: High yields attract short-term capital but risk sell-offs if APY declines. The -63.28% 90-day price drop suggests stakers may be underwater, creating potential exit pressure.

Key watch: Validator participation rates and APY adjustments via governance.

3. Mainnet Adoption & Ecosystem Growth (Bullish Impact)

Overview: TAC’s July mainnet launch enabled Ethereum dApps (Curve, Morpho) on Telegram, targeting its 1B+ users. TVL hit $185M by August, with 200k+ transactions.

What this means: Real usage via Telegram integration could drive long-term demand, but RSI (32.46) and MACD (-0.00016) still reflect bearish technicals.

Key watch: User growth metrics for TAC-powered MiniApps and TVL stability post-incentives.

Conclusion

TAC’s rally combines speculative trading (exchange listings), yield-driven staking, and cautious optimism about Telegram’s DeFi adoption. While the 24h bounce is notable, the -50% 30d trend and thin order books ($0.0052 price) warrant caution.

Key watch: Can TAC hold above the 7-day SMA ($0.0058)? A break above $0.0063 (38.2% Fib) could signal stronger recovery.