Latest TrueUSD (TUSD) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Primary Catalyst: Gambling Sector Adoption

TUSD’s 24-hour price rise aligns with its growing use in online casinos like BC.Game and Lucky Block, highlighted in a June 11, 2025, report. These platforms emphasize TUSD’s stability, low fees (near-zero on TRON), and privacy benefits. Increased demand for deposits/withdrawals in gambling could strain liquidity, creating temporary upward pressure despite its peg mechanism.

2. Supporting Factors: Whale Influence and Regulatory Shifts

• Whale dominance: 90% of TUSD’s supply is controlled by whales, making prices prone to large transactions.
• Post-MiCA adjustments: While EU delistings (completed March 2025) reduced accessibility, remaining liquidity pools may amplify volatility.

3. Technical Context: Neutral Indicators

• RSI: 50.31 (14-day) signals neither overbought nor oversold conditions.
• Fibonacci support: Price hovers near the 23.6% retracement level ($0.996), aligning with its 24-hour high of $0.997.
• Moving averages: SMA/EMA levels (50-day: $0.998) suggest minor resistance overhead.

Conclusion

TUSD’s uptick reflects niche demand from gambling and technical stabilization, though whale-driven liquidity risks and regulatory headwinds persist. Could sustained adoption in gaming offset ongoing de-pegging concerns?

Deep Dive

1. Primary catalyst: MiCA-driven delistings

TUSD was delisted from EU-facing exchanges like Binance and Coinbase on March 31, 2025, under MiCA’s strict transparency rules (MiCA guidelines). This severed access to a key market, shrinking liquidity (24h volume: $47.7M, down 14.76%) and amplifying de-peg risks.

2. Supporting factors: Trust erosion

• Reserve fraud claims: Justin Sun’s May 2024 allegations of $565M in diverted reserves (CoinMarketCap) remain unresolved, undermining confidence in TUSD’s 1:1 backing.
• De-pegging history: Past drops to $0.70 (2023) and $0.985 (Jan 2024) resurface in risk assessments, despite recent audits.

3. Technical context

• Oversold but weak: The 7-day RSI (4.91) suggests extreme selling pressure, but MACD’s negative histogram (-0.000747) indicates no bullish reversal yet.
• Price below key averages: TUSD trades below its 10-day SMA ($0.997), with Fibonacci resistance at $0.997 (23.6% retracement).

Conclusion

TUSD’s dip reflects MiCA-driven liquidity loss and unresolved trust issues, compounded by bearish technicals. While gambling-sector adoption offers mild upside, regulatory compliance and reserve transparency remain critical hurdles.

What to watch: Will Techteryx address reserve concerns decisively to prevent further de-pegging?