Deep Dive
1. Protocol Sunset (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
USDJ’s Collateralized Debt Position (CDP) mechanism and protocol support will permanently cease on 31 August 2025 (JUST DAO). Users must close positions or swap to alternatives like USDD, USDT, or USDC. Post-shutdown, USDJ transitions to a floating exchange rate with no liquidity guarantees.
What this means:
Mass exits before the deadline could trigger rapid sell pressure and slippage, especially given its low 24h volume ($1.13M as of 6 Aug 2025). Historical stablecoin shutdowns (e.g., TUSD’s 2024 depegging) saw 10–20% price drops due to panic-driven selling.
2. Delistings & Reduced Utility (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Since May 2025, USDJ lost functionality:
- Collateral factor reduced to 0% on JustLend DAO.
- Minting capped at 10M tokens (vs. 9.4M circulating).
- Delisted from KuCoin, Poloniex, and others, cutting off liquidity channels.
What this means:
With no borrowing/earning utility and dwindling exchange support, USDJ’s demand hinges solely on residual speculative trading. Reduced liquidity depth (turnover ratio: 0.209) heightens volatility risks.
3. Migration to USDD (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
TRON DAO is prioritizing USDD, its algorithmic stablecoin, with incentives like 8% APY in Phase III mining (JustLend DAO). USDJ holders are urged to migrate, but delays or partial exits could prolong price instability.
What this means:
While migration reduces systemic risk, uneven adoption (e.g., some CDPs lingering past deadlines) might cause sporadic liquidity shocks. For example, a 25 Aug 2025 KuCoin pump (+199% USDJ) suggests speculative traps amid thin order books.
Conclusion
USDJ’s price trajectory hinges on orderly user exits before 31 August 2025, but thin liquidity and loss of utility skew risks downward. Post-shutdown, its value may drift aimlessly unless TRON intervenes. Will migration compliance outpace speculative trading volume in the final weeks?