VeChain (VET) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Stargate Staking Program (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
VeChain’s StarGate staking went live on July 1, 2025, offering up to 9% APY via a $15M VTHO bonus pool. Over 5.4B VTHO tokens are allocated to incentivize long-term holding, with NFT-based participation ensuring regulatory compliance.

What this means:
Reduced sell pressure from staking rewards (vs. passive VTHO generation) could tighten supply. Historical precedent (200% rallies post-staking upgrades) suggests potential upside if adoption accelerates (CoinDesk).

2. Wanchain Cross-Chain Integration (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
July’s partnership with Wanchain connected VeChain to 40+ blockchains (BTC, ETH, Solana), enabling VET/VTHO interoperability. Daily DeFi volume surged to $24B post-integration.

What this means:
Access to cross-chain liquidity pools and institutional tools (e.g., Visa payments) strengthens VeChain’s enterprise utility. Analysts project a 30-50% price boost if TVL surpasses $200M (Bitcoinist).

3. Bearish Technical Signals (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
VET trades 12% below its 200-day EMA ($0.0245) with RSI at 32 (oversold). The MACD histogram shows sustained bearish divergence since August.

What this means:
Failure to reclaim $0.024 resistance could trigger a drop to $0.0177 (Fibonacci support). However, the 90-day price correlation with BTC (0.82) means macro rebounds might offset local weakness.

Conclusion

VeChain’s institutional momentum (Franklin Templeton/BitGo deals) and staking overhaul counterbalance near-term technical risks. Watch the StarGate participation rate – if >20% of circulating supply is staked by Q4 2025, supply shock dynamics could override bearish charts. Will cross-chain volume growth outpace the broader altcoin downturn?