Viction (VIC) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Tokenomics Revamp Vote (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The contested VIP#1 proposal seeks to mint 110M new VIC (210M total supply) by 2040, allocating 30M to masternode rewards and 80M to ecosystem development. Passed in July 2025 after initial community resistance, it risks dilution but funds critical growth areas like Vietnam-based partnerships and Layer-2 solutions.

What this means: Short-term sell pressure is likely as 80M VIC enters circulation by 2029, but structured unlocks (e.g., 20M RetroDrops over 4 years) may balance inflation. Historical precedent shows VIC rallied 129% post-upgrade in July 2025 despite similar concerns, suggesting markets may price in long-term utility gains.

2. Ecosystem Growth Metrics (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Active addresses surged 4x YoY to 63,400 DAU (August 2025), with TVL hitting $12M – a 314% increase since January. Strategic moves like WSPN's gasless stablecoin integration and Binance-listed Atlas Hard Fork (August 21) enhance real-world payment use cases.

What this means: Rising developer activity (20+ new dApps quarterly) and Southeast Asia-focused initiatives like ConViction2025 conference participation could drive network effects. However, RSI at 43.4 shows tepid momentum – sustainable $0.25+ levels require TVL surpassing $15M resistance.

3. Altcoin Market Headwinds (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Crypto fear/greed sits neutral at 47 (September 2025), with Bitcoin dominance at 57.79% – historically unfavorable for mid-cap alts like VIC. Derivatives data shows perpetuals funding rates turned negative (-0.0010666%), indicating growing short bets.

What this means: VIC’s -17% 60-day performance aligns with sector-wide pullbacks. A break below $0.213 Fibonacci support could trigger cascading liquidations, though the MACD histogram’s bullish crossover hints at near-term rebound potential.

Conclusion

Viction faces inflationary risks from VIP#1 unlocks against measurable ecosystem growth, while macro conditions favor caution. Watch the $0.213 support level and August 21 Atlas Hard Fork adoption metrics – a successful upgrade with >50K new wallets could validate bullish network effect theses. Does VIC’s Vietnam-first strategy provide enough insulation from broader crypto volatility?