Latest Worldcoin (WLD) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
13 September 2025 04:02PM (UTC+0)

Why is WLD’s price up today? (13/09/2025)

TLDR

Worldcoin (WLD) rose 1.93% in the last 24h to $1.60, extending a 75% weekly rally. Three key drivers:

  1. $250M Treasury Launch – Publicly traded Eightco Holdings announced a WLD-focused treasury, sparking institutional demand.

  2. On-Chain Growth – Record user verifications (530k+/week) and transactions (31.6M processed) signal adoption momentum.

  3. Technical Breakout – Bullish indicators like MACD and RSI align with rising altcoin market rotation.


Deep Dive

1. Institutional Treasury Adoption (Bullish Impact)

Overview: On September 9, Nasdaq-listed Eightco Holdings launched a $250M digital asset treasury via private placement, allocating heavily to WLD. Major investors included Pantera, FalconX, and Brevan Howard. This mirrors a growing trend of public companies using crypto treasuries to diversify reserves (Eightco Holdings).

What this means: Large-scale token purchases reduce circulating supply and validate WLD’s utility in institutional portfolios. Eightco’s stock surged 3,000% post-announcement, amplifying speculative interest in WLD.

Key metric to watch: Sustained accumulation by corporate treasuries (e.g., BitMine’s $20M WLD investment announced September 8).


2. Network Activity Surge (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Worldcoin processed 31.6M wallet transactions in the past week (+25% vs. prior), with daily active users surpassing 2M. Over 33.5M users are now verified via iris-scanning Orbs (Coinex).

What this means: Rising adoption of Worldcoin’s “proof-of-human” identity system strengthens its narrative as an AI-era essential. Higher usage correlates with increased token utility and buy pressure from ecosystem participants.

Key metric to watch: Retention rates for new users (currently 50% higher than traditional verification methods).


3. Technical Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview: WLD’s price trades above critical moving averages (7-day SMA: $1.53; 30-day SMA: $1.08). The MACD histogram turned positive (+0.096), and the RSI (69.8) approaches overbought territory but remains below peak levels.

What this means: Short-term traders may take profits near resistance at $1.64 (38.2% Fibonacci level), but a sustained break above $1.66 pivot point could target $1.83 (23.6% Fib).

Key level to watch: $1.49 (50% Fib support) – a drop below this may trigger profit-taking.


Conclusion

WLD’s 24h gain reflects institutional treasury inflows, accelerating network adoption, and favorable technicals. While bullish momentum is strong, overbought signals and broader market risks (e.g., Fed rate decisions on September 17) warrant caution.

Key watch: Can WLD hold above $1.49 support if profit-taking accelerates post-Fed meeting?

Why is WLD’s price down today? (12/09/2025)

TLDR

Worldcoin (WLD) fell 3.13% to $1.56 in the past 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.49%). The drop follows a 76% 7-day rally driven by treasury hype, now facing profit-taking and macro headwinds.

  1. Profit-taking after parabolic rally – WLD surged 80% in 48h post-$250M treasury news, triggering sell-offs near key resistance.

  2. Market-wide risk aversion – Weak U.S. jobs data (Sept 10) reignited recession fears, pressuring crypto assets.

  3. Treasury model skepticism – Bloomberg reports fading investor interest in crypto treasury plays like WLD.


Deep Dive

1. Profit-Taking After Extreme Rally (Bearish Impact)

WLD skyrocketed 76% in 7 days after Nasdaq-listed Eightco announced a $250M WLD treasury on Sept 9. However:
- The price peaked at $2.15 on Sept 11 before retreating 27% to $1.56, signaling exhaustion.
- Technical resistance at the 50% Fibonacci level ($1.49) and declining volume (-20% 24h) confirmed weak bullish follow-through.
- On-chain data shows Teneo (Three Arrows Capital liquidator) sold 2.25M WLD ($2.88M) on Sept 9, adding sell pressure.

What this means: Traders locked in gains after WLD’s vertical rally, amplified by whale sell-offs. The RSI (69.42) remains near overbought territory, increasing correction risks.


2. Macro Headwinds & Crypto Sentiment Shift (Bearish Impact)

The crypto market dipped 1.49% on Sept 10 after U.S. non-farm payrolls missed expectations (-911K jobs vs. -700K forecast). While WLD initially resisted the trend, broader risk aversion eventually dragged it down:
- Bitcoin dominance rose to 57.18% as investors rotated to safer assets.
- Fear & Greed Index held at "Neutral" (50/100), reflecting cautious sentiment.

What this means: WLD’s AI/biometric narrative provided short-term insulation, but macro uncertainty limited upside.


3. Treasury Strategy Fatigue (Mixed Impact)

While WLD benefited from Eightco’s treasury announcement, the broader crypto treasury model shows cracks:
- Bloomberg reported declining premiums for companies holding crypto treasuries (Sept 9).
- $20M in WLD token sales by BitMine and others raised concerns about dilution.

What to watch: Institutional demand for WLD treasury partnerships vs. rising token supply (2.02B circulating, 10B total).


Conclusion

WLD’s dip reflects a cooling-off phase after speculative frenzy, compounded by macroeconomic jitters and sector-specific skepticism. The $1.49 Fibonacci level is critical support – a break below could signal deeper correction toward $1.33 (61.8% retracement).

Key watch: Fed rate decision on Sept 17 and WLD’s user growth metrics (33.5M verified users as of Sept 10).

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.