XDC Network (XDC) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Real-World Asset Adoption (Bullish Impact)

Overview: XDC has tokenized over $500M in assets (e.g., corporate debt, agribusiness receivables) since January 2025, with partnerships like Brazil’s VERT Capital targeting $1B more. Its ISO 20022 compatibility and hybrid architecture make it a go-to for enterprises bridging TradFi and DeFi.

What this means: Successful RWA use cases could validate XDC’s enterprise focus, attracting liquidity and reducing supply (2.8B XDC already locked in staking/DeFi). However, scaling tokenization requires flawless execution – delays or regulatory hiccups might dampen sentiment.

2. Regulatory & Institutional Catalysts (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Recent SEC guidance clarified PoS staking isn’t inherently a security, boosting XDC’s $300M+ staking ecosystem. Meanwhile, the 21Shares XDC ETP ($30.67M AUM) and a pending U.S. ETF application signal growing institutional access.

What this means: Regulatory greenlights reduce legal overhangs, but ETF approval isn’t guaranteed. A rejection could trigger sell-offs, while success might mirror Bitcoin ETF inflows, propelling XDC toward its $0.1076 Fibonacci resistance.

3. Technical & Market Sentiment (Neutral/Bearish Near-Term)

Overview: XDC trades at $0.079 (-15% monthly), with RSI at 45.82 (neutral) and MACD hinting at weak momentum. Derivatives traders remain bearish (Long/Short Ratio: 0.937), but the 200-day SMA ($0.074) provides a floor.

What this means: While the LayerZero integration (July 2025) improved cross-chain utility, low DeFi TVL ($13.1M) and spot dominance (vs. derivatives) suggest retail-driven volatility. A break below $0.075 could test June 2025’s $0.055 low.

Conclusion

XDC’s price hinges on delivering RWA milestones and ETF progress against a backdrop of cautious derivatives markets. Watch the $0.075–$0.085 range for breakout clues: Can institutional inflows via ETFs offset retail profit-taking?