Deep Dive
1. XRP ETF Decisions (18–25 October 2025)
Overview: The SEC faces deadlines to approve or reject multiple XRP ETF applications, including Grayscale’s XRP Trust (18 October) and 21Shares’ proposal (19 October). Polymarket odds suggest a 93% approval likelihood by mid-October 2025.
What this means: Approval could unlock institutional demand, similar to Bitcoin ETF inflows. However, delays or rejections might pressure short-term sentiment.
2. XRPL Version 3.0 (October 2025)
Overview: The XRP Ledger’s next major upgrade introduces a protocol-level lending system and Multi-Purpose Tokens (MPTs), enabling compliant bond issuance and structured products.
What this means: This is bullish for DeFi adoption, as MPTs simplify asset tokenization. Risks include slow developer uptake if Ethereum-based alternatives dominate.
3. RLUSD Expansion to Japan (Q1 2026)
Overview: Ripple’s USD-backed stablecoin, RLUSD, will launch in Japan via SBI Holdings, leveraging XRPL for cross-border settlements.
What this means: Expansion strengthens XRP’s role in Asia-Pacific liquidity corridors. Success depends on regulatory alignment and banking partnerships.
4. Confidential MPTs (Early 2026)
Overview: Zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) will allow institutions to transact privately while maintaining auditability for compliance.
What this means: Neutral-to-bullish, as privacy could attract regulated entities but may face scrutiny from watchdogs.
Conclusion
XRP’s roadmap balances regulatory milestones (ETF approvals, RLUSD expansion) with technical innovation (XRPL 3.0, confidential MPTs). The convergence of legal clarity and institutional-grade infrastructure could solidify its role in global finance. Will rising open interest and ETF inflows offset macroeconomic headwinds?