Question 1

Why is FLUX’s price down today? (30/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR
Flux (FLUX) fell 1.83% in the past 24h to $0.185, underperforming a crypto market that rose 1.66%. Recent network upgrades and miner uncertainty appear to be key drivers alongside technical resistance.

1. **Proof-of-Useful-Work Transition** – Miners face mandatory node upgrades (v8.0.0) ahead of v9 fork, risking reward losses ([Flux Daemon Update](https://x.com/RunOnFlux/status/1953168730260709866))  
2. **Technical Resistance** – Price rejected at $0.20 Fibonacci level (23.6% retracement at $0.220) with RSI at 42.82 signaling bearish momentum  
3. **Altcoin Weakness** – Altcoin Season Index fell 4.55% as BTC dominance rose to 58.16%

## Deep Dive  
### 1. Miner Uncertainty (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** Flux’s mandatory v8.0.0 update (August 6) prepares for its Proof-of-Useful-Work v2 transition, eliminating traditional mining rewards by 2036. Node operators must upgrade by August 14 or risk losing payouts.  
**What this means:** The shift from GPU mining to application-based rewards creates selling pressure as miners exit positions. Circulating supply remains maxed at 391M FLUX, but emission cuts (10% annual reduction since July 2025) haven’t offset miner concerns about future revenue streams.

### 2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** FLUX failed to hold the $0.20 psychological level, with the MACD histogram (-0.00111) confirming bearish momentum. The 30-day SMA ($0.201) now acts as overhead resistance.  
**What this means:** Traders are watching the $0.174 Fibonacci swing low – a break below could accelerate selling. The falling wedge pattern noted in community analysis requires a close above $0.20 to invalidate bearish structure.

### 3. Macro Altcoin Headwinds (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** While Flux’s 24h volume surged 72.58% to $5.7M, the Fear & Greed Index sits at Neutral (43), favoring blue chips over mid-caps like FLUX.  
**What this means:** FLUX’s -15.25% 60d return reflects broader DePIN sector struggles – Phala and other low-cap decentralized infra projects saw similar underperformance despite technological progress.

## Conclusion  
Flux’s drop combines transitional mining economics with technical rejection at key levels, exacerbated by cautious altcoin markets. **Key watch:** Can FLUX hold the $0.174–$0.175 support zone ahead of the August 14 node upgrade deadline? Monitor miner migration patterns and v9 fork adoption rates for directional cues.

Question 2

Why is FLUX’s price up today? (28/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
Flux (FLUX) rose 0.77% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market’s +2.21% gain. The uptick aligns with protocol upgrades and exchange-driven liquidity improvements. Key drivers:

1. **Mandatory Node Upgrade** – FluxDaemon v8.0.0 prepares for PoUW v2 (bullish for utility).  
2. **Exchange Listings** – Recent Binance and Niza.io listings boosted accessibility (mixed liquidity impact).  
3. **Technical Rebound** – Oversold RSI and bullish moving average cross (neutral short-term signal).

## Deep Dive  
### 1. Protocol Upgrade Momentum (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** Flux enforced a mandatory update ([FluxDaemon v8.0.0](https://x.com/RunOnFlux/status/1953168730260709866)) on August 6, 2025, preparing nodes for Proof-of-Useful-Work v2. This eliminates traditional mining, prioritizing nodes running real workloads like AI or decentralized apps.  
**What this means:** The shift incentivizes operators to hold FLUX for staking and workload rewards, reducing sell pressure. With block rewards redistributed (14 FLUX/block), node participation could drive demand. However, the transition risks short-term volatility if adoption lags.

### 2. Exchange Listings & Liquidity (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** FLUX gained accessibility via Binance’s FLUX/USDC pair (June 17, 2025) and Niza.io’s listing (June 23, 2025). While not directly in the past 24h, these expanded trading routes likely contributed to sustained liquidity.  
**What this means:** Binance’s integration typically boosts visibility, but FLUX’s 24h volume fell 0.93% to $3.32M, signaling muted trader interest. The token’s 0.045 turnover ratio (volume/market cap) remains low, suggesting thin markets prone to volatility.

### 3. Technical Rebound Signals (Neutral Impact)  
**Overview:** FLUX’s 7-day RSI (41.55) exited oversold territory, while its price ($0.188) crossed above the 7-day SMA ($0.185). The MACD histogram (-0.00235) shows bearish momentum easing.  
**What this means:** Traders may interpret this as a short-term buy signal, but resistance looms at the 30-day SMA ($0.202). A close above $0.20 could confirm a trend reversal, while failure risks retesting June’s $0.17 low.

## Conclusion  
Flux’s modest gain reflects a mix of protocol upgrade anticipation and technical factors, though weak volume and macro headwinds (-70% YoY) limit upside. **Key watch:** Can FLUX hold $0.185 support post-upgrade, or will profit-taking erase gains?

Latest Flux (FLUX) Price Analysis

Why is FLUX’s price down today? (30/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Miner Uncertainty (Bearish Impact)

2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

3. Macro Altcoin Headwinds (Mixed Impact)

Conclusion

Why is FLUX’s price up today? (28/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Protocol Upgrade Momentum (Bullish Impact)

2. Exchange Listings & Liquidity (Mixed Impact)

3. Technical Rebound Signals (Neutral Impact)

Conclusion

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