Flux (FLUX) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Proof-of-Useful-Work Upgrade (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Flux’s v9 fork (slated for Q3 2025) replaces GPU mining with node-based Proof-of-Useful-Work (PoUW). Only nodes processing real workloads (AI, dApps) will earn block rewards, disincentivizing idle mining. Early data shows ~25% of current nodes actively serve clients like Kadena.

What this means:
Transitioning from speculative mining to utility-driven node operations could reduce daily sell pressure by ~37,500 FLUX (based on current 37.5 FLUX/block emissions). Historical precedent: Helium’s shift to MOBILE rewards boosted HNT’s utility valuation 83% in 6 months post-upgrade (Helium).

2. Emission Schedule Overhaul (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
August 2025’s mandatory v8.0.0 update introduces fixed 14 FLUX/block rewards (vs halvings), with 0.5 FLUX/block funding development. Annual emissions drop 10% until 2036, targeting <1% inflation.

What this means:
Near-term, reduced sell pressure from miners (reward share cut from 50% to 0%) may offset bearish effects of ~9.6M annual FLUX entering circulation. However, node operators’ rewards depend on workload completion – inconsistent demand could create volatile selling patterns.

3. Node Network Scalability (Bearish Risk)

Overview:
Flux’s 12,000-node network requires 50-12,500 FLUX collateral per node. While Titan pooling (50 FLUX minimum) boosted nodes by 10K in Q2, 114.94M FLUX (31% supply) remains locked.

What this means:
Rising node count typically supports price via collateral demand, but oversaturation risks reward dilution. Current Cumulus-tier nodes earn ~1 FLUX weekly – a 15% drop since June 2025. If ROI dips below 8% APY, unlocked FLUX could flood markets.

Conclusion

Flux’s pivot to utility-driven rewards and controlled emissions creates asymmetric upside if Web3 infrastructure demand accelerates. However, the network must demonstrate workload growth beyond current ~79K CPU cores utilized. Watch the FLUX/block reward utilization rate post-v9 – sustained >60% allocation to active nodes would signal healthy adoption.