Bitcoin

when

Rekt

Hannah Phung, a lead analyst at on-chain analytics platform <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/solana-meme-coin-trader/" rel="nofollow">SpotOnChain</a>, recently gave her opinion on the impact that Bitcoin Halving could have on the flaghsip crypto’s price. This adds to the ongoing debate on whether or not the Halving event could cause <a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-100000-cardano-dead/#:~:text=Why%20Cardano%20Is%20Dead,non%2Dexistent%E2%80%9D%20on%20it.">Bitcoin’s price to rise to $100,000</a>.&nbsp; 
<h2 id="bitcoin-s-price-surge-might-not-come-immediately">Bitcoin’s Price Surge Might Not Come Immediately</h2> 
Phung mentioned during an <a href="https://beincrypto.com/bitcoin-halving-influences-price-investors-sentiment/?__cf_chl_rt_tk=5x4N1Qh_uLHxyijJT7f1wF2_haCHlw4TpMPSgGsBysU-1712910311-0.0.1.1-1706" rel="nofollow">interview</a> with BeInCrypto that Bitcoin’s price tends to increase around 6 to 12 months after the <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-bull-market-glassnode/" rel="nofollow">Halving</a> and not immediately. This is evident from the past Halving events, as Bitcoin’s <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-price-rise-above-57000/#:~:text=Bitcoin%20isn't%20showing%20signs,a%20bullish%20narrative%20for%20BTC." rel="nofollow">significant price gains</a> came about one year after the Halving had occurred. After the first Halving on November 28, 2021, Bitcoin saw a price increase of over 8,000% one year after the event. 
<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-602930 aligncenter" src="https://www.newsbtc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Bitcoin_4fef0a.png?w=460&amp;resize=460%2C199" alt="Bitcoin" width="460" height="199" srcset="https://www.newsbtc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Bitcoin_4fef0a.png?w=512 512w, https://www.newsbtc.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Bitcoin_4fef0a.png?w=460&amp;resize=460%2C199 460w" sizes="(max-width: 460px) 100vw, 460px" data-recalc-dims="1"> 
&nbsp; 
Meanwhile, BTC saw a price increase of 284% and 559% one year after the second and third Halving events, which took place on July 9, 2016, and May 11, 2020, respectively. Phung further noted that Bitcoin’s price gains come from the reduction in <a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-demands-exceeds-supply/">Bitcoin miners’ supply</a>, which helps increase scarcity and drive up its price, especially when demand is stable.&nbsp; 
In February, NewsBTC <a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-demands-exceeds-supply/">reported</a> that Bitcoin’s demand was far outpacing the miners’ supply. This led to several crypto analysts making bullish predictions that Bitcoin’s price could increase exponentially when miners’ rewards are further cut in half later this month. One such analyst was MacronautBTC, who raised the possibility of Bitcoin rising to $237,000.&nbsp; 
<h2 id="this-bitcoin-halving-could-be-different">This Bitcoin Halving Could Be Different</h2> 
Despite the crypto market being known to follow <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/when-bitcoin-top-historical-pattern-provide-hints/" rel="nofollow">historical patterns</a>, Phung emphasized that the market can also be unpredictable, opening the possibility of this Halving being different from past ones. Moreover, this cycle has already proven different, considering that for the first time, Bitcoin hit a <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-breaks-through-69000-setting-new-record/" rel="nofollow">new all-time high (ATH</a>) before the Halving.&nbsp; 
Furthermore, the analyst acknowledged that the Bitcoin market is “much larger and more established compared to earlier halvings.” However, Phung still expects a price increase after the halving, although she admitted that the exact timing is uncertain, meaning it could be earlier or even later than usual.&nbsp; 
<a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-troubles-far-from-over/">Crypto analyst Rekt Capital</a> also echoed a similar sentiment about how things could be different this cycle when he shared his <a href="https://x.com/rektcapital/status/1769656725341163692" rel="nofollow">analysis</a> of the five phases of the Bitcoin Halving. Specifically, he stated that the Re-accumulation phase “may not last very long before additional uptrend continuation” since this is the first time the Re-accumulation range will be around a new ATH.&nbsp; Market Sentiment Could Determine Bitcoin’s Price Post-Halving 
Phung also elaborated on how the market sentiment after the halving could provide insights into Bitcoin’s future trajectory. She predicts that <a href="https://bitcoinist.com/over-90-of-bitcoin-holders-profit-46000-break-data/" rel="nofollow">crypto investors</a> will likely be bullish once the halving takes place, considering the significance of the event on Bitcoin’s supply.&nbsp; 
However, once the excitement about the halving wears off, several metrics, such as price charts, trading volume, social media discussions, and on-chain data like active addresses or <a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-coinbase-9-year-low/">exchange supply</a>, will need to be analyzed to determine whether or not investors are still bullish.&nbsp; 
Meanwhile, Phung suggested that the price surge that occurs immediately after the Bitcoin halving may not be shortlived this time around since more <a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/institutional-buyers-of-bitcoin/">institutional investors</a> are now involved and have helped create a “more mature market.” 
<img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-medium" src="https://www.tradingview.com/x/0JGNYOcu/" alt="Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com" width="3286" height="1530">

Will The Halving Send Bitcoin Price To $100,000? Analytics Platform Reveals What You Should Expect

Table of Contents

NewsBTC

Other articles published on Apr 12, 2024

Top Crypto Presale: BlockDAG Raised $16.3M in Presale Post DAGpaper Release Shutting Down DST & F...

LBank Labs Invests in Peaq Network, Catalyzing the Next Generation for Decentralized Physical Inf...

Berachain Notches $100 Million Funding, Eyes Wider Expansion

Ethereum Pectra Upgrade Promises Better Network Usability

Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest Reveals Stake in OpenAI

Upcoming Bybit listings

Join our free newsletter for daily crypto updates!