Bitcoin

Bitcoin&nbsp;can beat its imminent “death cross” if it flips $62,000 to support, the latest analysis says.
In a dedicated X <a href="https://x.com/intocryptoverse/status/1821676892904423486" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">thread</a> on Aug. 9, popular trader Benjamin Cowen used history to suggest how bulls might avoid a fresh Bitcoin (<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/bitcoin-price">BTC</a>)&nbsp;price dive.
<h2 data-ct-non-breakable="true" id="62-000-becomes-key-btc-price-resistance-hurdle">$62,000 becomes key BTC price resistance hurdle</h2>
<a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/btc-price-58k-cme-gap-analysis-2-bitcoin-death-crosses">Recent BTC price action</a> has led BTC/USD to the door of another moving average crossover classically known as a “death cross.”
This involves the downward-sloping 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing below its 200-day equivalent. Currently, the 50-day and 200-day SMAs stand at $61,998 and $61,882, respectively, per data from <a href="https://subscription.cointelegraph.com/?_gl=1*7499wx*_ga*MTQ0MzQ0NzI4Ny4xNzE2MzY1NTA0*_ga_53R24TEEB1*MTcxNjM2NTUwNC4xLjEuMTcxNjM2Njg2MC4wLjAuMA..">Cointelegraph Markets Pro</a> and <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BINANCE" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">TradingView</a>.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-08/1a77affc-130a-4daf-b357-5212b5a0cf2b.png" alt="Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD 1-day chart with 50, 200SMA. Source: TradingView
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The death cross gets its name from the assumption that the crossover acts as a prewarning for the downside of the BTC price once it is complete.
As Cowen shows, however, the results are often mixed. The last daily death cross in 2023, in fact, precluded a bout of gains.
“In 2023, BTC started its rally just after the death cross. It then got above its 50D SMA and subsequently held it as support before going higher,” he noted.
By contrast, in 2019, 2021 and 2022, a brief tap higher into the death cross event itself ultimately gave way to the expected result — losses.
“The durability of this move will likely depend on first BTC getting above its 50D SMA ($62k), and then holding it as support like it did in 2023,” Cowen concluded. 
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-08/a68a965f-faae-4262-accb-e3aa7906410e.png" alt="Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD chart. Source: Benjamin Cowen
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He added that should that fail, the downside may return until macroeconomic conditions notably change. Specifically, the United States Federal Reserve should perform a “sufficient pivot” on <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/warren-buffett-right-5-things-bitcoin-this-week"></a><a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/warren-buffett-right-5-things-bitcoin-this-week">interest rates to boost crypto</a> and risk assets.
<h2 data-ct-non-breakable="true" id="bitcoin-open-interest-sluggish-on-btc-price-rebound">Bitcoin open interest sluggish on BTC price rebound</h2>
BTC/USD continued its recovery on the day, reaching $62,775 into the prior daily close before returning to consolidate slightly lower at the time of writing.
Related: <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-62k-bullish-chart-pattern-bull-hammer-crypto-traders">Bitcoin reclaims $62K, forming a ‘massive bull hammer’ on price chart</a>
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-08/d7b6dc5c-7d49-4ae0-9c16-a889e55efe1b.png" alt="Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Source: Charles Edwards
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Market observers noted a lack of rebound in futures market open interest despite the higher prices, this coming days after a giant flush rarely seen in Bitcoin’s history in terms of scale.
“This Bitcoin bounce has been mostly shorts covering positions in the futures market,” Julio Moreno, a contributor to onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, <a href="https://x.com/jjcmoreno/status/1821743668752941522" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">wrote</a> in part of an X response.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-08/a7f39cf5-a370-4fd3-ae5a-e631900acf97.png" alt="Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 Bitcoin exchange open interest (BTC). Source: Julio Moreno
 </figcaption>
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Fellow contributor Axel Adler Jr meanwhile <a href="https://x.com/AxelAdlerJr/status/1821811406418620523" target="_blank" rel="noopener nofollow">flagged</a> the area above $62,000 as key resistance, with major support still at this week’s six-month lows beneath $50,000.
<figure data-ct-non-breakable="true">
 <img src="https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2024-08/749a55f9-9580-4673-b244-18f364caf0a5.png" alt="Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences" title="">
 <figcaption style="text-align: center;">
 BTC/USD chart. Source: Axel Adler Jr
 </figcaption>
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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Bitcoin price must flip $62K to avoid worst ‘death cross’ consequences

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