Gold

Bitcoin

<ul class="wp-block-list">
 <li>Traders capitalize on high implied volatility pre-election, especially for assets like Bitcoin and gold, expecting normalization soon.</li>  
 <li>Meme assets like DJT may see post-election drops, driven by volatility declines and market makers adjusting delta positions.</li>  
 <li>Bitcoin’s volatility may continue rising post-election, while Ethereum and gold face resistance due to market maker hedging.</li> 
</ul>  
<p>As the 2024 U.S. presidential election results approach, financial markets are seeing a surge in trading strategies focused on selling volatility. This trend is notably evident in assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and gold (GLD), where traders are capitalizing on high <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/currency-volatility-surges-before-us-election-2024-10-30/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">implied volatility</a> (IV) ahead of election outcomes. Besides, analysts predict that assets with significant volatility, especially memecoins and meme stocks, may experience notable corrections following the election.</p>  
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
 <div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
  https://twitter.com/BloFin_Academy/status/1854003844168253461
 </div>
</figure>  
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-selling-the-truth-election-day-strategy">Selling the Truth: Election Day Strategy</h2>  
<p>The concept of “selling the truth” is common after major events, where the removal of uncertainty often triggers profit-taking or loss-limiting moves by institutional traders. Consequently, the prices of high-performing assets typically normalize post-event. With memecoins and meme stocks like DJT, this normalization is almost inevitable, driven by statistical arbitrage strategies and volatility crashes.</p>  
<p>For instance, DJT’s 30-day at-the-money IV has spiked over 300%, reflecting extreme skew. Once the election uncertainty fades, market makers are likely to reduce delta positions, causing concentrated price shifts due to the lack of liquidity. Consequently, this creates unique trading opportunities as excessive implied volatility levels recede.</p>  
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-btc-and-gld-controlled-volatility-decline-expected">BTC and GLD: Controlled Volatility Decline Expected</h2>  
<p>In contrast to meme assets, Bitcoin and gold are expected to face <a href="https://cryptonewsland.com/worst-performing-cryptocurrencies-in-2024-alva-faces-decline-amid-market-volatility/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">controlled declines in volatility</a>. Unlike memecoins, these assets display a return distribution closer to normal levels. Hence, both assets may stabilize sooner and are more likely to maintain upward momentum post-election.&nbsp;</p>  
<p>Bitcoin, with its stronger price momentum, has more negative gamma, meaning its hedging activities <a href="https://cryptonewsland.com/bitcoin-shows-strong-resilience-amid-healthy-correction-and-election-volatility/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">drive stronger volatility responses</a>. On the other hand, gold’s positive gamma dampens price gains, creating resistance during rises and stabilizing prices.</p>  
<p>Ethereum (ETH) mirrors <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/education/articles-and-reports/introduction-to-gold-volatility-trading.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">gold’s volatility</a> characteristics, especially with the gamma peak concentrated around $2.5-$2.6k. Market makers’ selling pressure is anticipated to restrict ETH’s price growth, driven by weekly option hedging behavior.</p>  
<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-market-dynamics-and-opportunity">Market Dynamics and Opportunity</h2>  
<p>Selling volatility appears favorable as market maker hedging controls price movements across assets. This approach provides limited price direction, making direct trades challenging. However, a deeply backwardated IV term structure suggests a rare opportunity to execute calendar trading.</p>  
<p>By selling front-end vol and buying far-end vol, traders may capitalize on anticipated term structure normalization post-election. As election results are finalized, expect the IV term structure to gradually stabilize.</p> 
<p>The post <a href="https://cryptonewsland.com/post-election-strategy-why-selling-the-truth-could-drive-btc-and-gold/" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Post-Election Strategy, Why ‘Selling the Truth’ Could Drive BTC and Gold</a> appeared first on <a href="https://cryptonewsland.com" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Crypto News Land</a>.</p>

Post-Election Strategy, Why ‘Selling the Truth’ Could Drive BTC and Gold

Table of Contents

Crypto News Land

Other articles published on Nov 7, 2024

LINK at $40? Here’s Why Chainlink Will Win Big in the Next Bitcoin Bull Run

XRP Price Projection: Possible 11% Decline Causes Investors To Move Into AI Coin For 17,000% ROI ...

GALA Rallies To 20% Weekly Gains, Eyes Key Resistance at $0.02717

Brazilian YouTuber Launches Meme Token in wake of $100m $MOTHER Token

This new meme coin sells out stage 4 in record time, attracting DOGE and SHIB fans

Bitcoin Surges Past $71,000: What Could be the Possible Reasons?

Join our free newsletter for daily crypto updates!