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<p>Bitcoin is oscillating between a spectacular breakthrough beyond $100,000 or a brutal drop. After flirting with $99,500, the flagship crypto is stagnant at $98,500. However, market forecasts like Kalshi suggest even more dizzying figures for the end of the year, hinting at a potential historic rally. But what are the real data driving this optimism?</p>
<h2 id="h-bitcoin-un-cap-historique-a-portee-de-main">Bitcoin: a historic milestone within reach</h2>
<p>The <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/crypto-markets/bitcoin-btc-en/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">price of Bitcoin</a> continues to show impressive growth, with <strong>an increase of nearly 8% over the past seven days</strong>. Since November 5, when it was valued at $67,842.12, its price has surged by 45.51%, reaching $98,962 last night. Although a slight drop of 0.2% was recorded in the last 24 hours, the general trend remains optimistic, with particularly ambitious projections.</p>
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<p>Prediction markets, such as <a href="https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1859983047845941662" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">Kalshi</a>, attribute a 95% probability that <strong>BTC will exceed $100,000 by December 31</strong>. Even better, these same markets estimate a 13% chance that it will reach $150,000 before the end of the year.</p>
<p>Based on this data, a rally scenario beyond 100K seems increasingly plausible.</p>
<h2 id="h-prix-du-btc-croissance-rapide-et-projections-chiffrees">BTC Price: rapid growth and numerical projections</h2>
<p>Since the beginning of the month, the market has been oscillating <strong>between spikes and slight corrections</strong>, yet remains overall bullish. A performance similar to that of the second weekend in November (+5.29%) could allow Bitcoin to <strong>cross $103,975 as early as Monday, November 25</strong>.</p> 
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<p>On the other hand, other weekends have shown declines (-1.19% and -1.36%), illustrating the persistent volatility of BTC.</p>
<p>End-of-year projections are equally fascinating:</p>
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 <li><strong>The expected median price reaches $127,000, a credible rise according to experts;</strong></li>
 <li><strong>If this milestone is reached, Bitcoin’s market capitalization would exceed $2.5 trillion;</strong></li>
 <li><strong>Currently, the capitalization of $1.95 trillion already shows a growth of 42.33% since early November.</strong></li>
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<p>These figures reflect unprecedented growth potential, but also significant risks associated with market fluctuations.</p>
<p>Thus, while Bitcoin seems on the verge of breaking through the $100,000 ceiling, some analysts fear <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/why-100000-could-change-the-history-of-bitcoin/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">a sudden reversal</a>. Traders, meanwhile, oscillate between euphoria and caution, in a market more unstable than ever.</p>

Bitcoin Aims For $2.5 Trillion In Market Capitalization Before January

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