Donald Trump

Bitcoin

Arthur

<p>Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, is known for his bold predictions about the crypto market. And this time, he strikes hard. According to him, Donald Trump’s inauguration could trigger a collapse in the crypto market. While many anticipate favorable political changes for crypto assets, Hayes seems to be swimming against the tide. His strategy? To reduce his short-term positions to return to lower prices in 2025.</p> 
<h2 id="h-donald-trump-le-vrai-danger-pour-les-cryptos">Donald Trump, the real danger for cryptos?</h2> 
<p>Arthur Hayes, <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/arthur-hayes-drops-bitcoin-and-bets-big-on-solana-ahead-of-the-elections/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the man who dropped Bitcoin for Solana</a>, is not one to go with the flow, and his latest warning is not an insignificant detail. <strong>Donald Trump’s inauguration could shake the crypto market</strong> much more violently than expected. While everyone sees Trump as a potential champion of crypto, Hayes warns against <strong>excessive expectations</strong>.</p>
<div class="my-4">
 <div class="ads " data-page-type="" data-location="1"> 
 </div> 
</div> 
<p>In <a href="https://cryptohayes.substack.com/p/trump-truth" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">a post titled “Trump Truth”</a>, he predicts <strong>an immediate crash around January 20, 2025</strong>. The idea behind this brutal drop? A collective disappointment at the lack of concrete and rapid reforms in the crypto field.</p> 
<figure class="wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter">
 <div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
   https://twitter.com/coindanslecoin/status/1869423672689315965 
 </div>
</figure> 
<p>« <em>The market believes that Trump and his allies will perform economic miracles overnight</em> », declares Hayes, but one must not forget that policies take time to implement. </p> 
<p>The president will have <strong>at best one year to fulfill his promises</strong>. This could provoke a violent reaction in the markets, pushing many investors to <strong>sell in panic</strong>.</p> 
<p>Until then, Hayes and his Maelstrom fund intend to lighten their positions to prepare for <strong>a strategic low-cost purchase</strong>, a strategy that reflects his short-term pessimism.</p> 
<ul> 
 <li>Hayes’ forecast: a massive sell-off around January 20;</li> 
 <li>Overly high expectations about Trump’s crypto policies;</li> 
 <li>A possible recovery, but not before the second half of 2025.</li> 
</ul> 
<div class="affiliate-button"> <a class="affiliate-button__link" href="https://bitvavo.com/fr/affiliate/coinmedia?a=_cta" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">€20 bonus for registering on Bitvavo</a> <a class="affiliate-button__disclaimer" href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/sponsored-content/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">This link uses an affiliate program.</a> 
</div> 
<h2 id="h-les-previsions-de-hayes-pour-2025">Hayes’ predictions for 2025</h2> 
<p>Arthur Hayes, with his sharp market analysis, believes that <strong>the year 2025 will be the year of the great reversal for crypto</strong>, but not necessarily in the way enthusiastic investors expect. After a likely plunge at the beginning of the year, the expert predicts <strong>a “crack-up-boom” in the second half of 2025</strong>.</p> 
<p>This is where the real question arises: how will the adoption of bitcoin and other cryptos evolve in such an uncertain political context?</p>  
<div class="tradingview-widget-container tradingview--mini-chart"> 
 <div class="tradingview-widget-container__widget"></div> 
 <div class="tradingview--mini-chart--dark"> 
  <script type="text/javascript" src="https://s3.tradingview.com/external-embedding/embed-widget-mini-symbol-overview.js" async>{"symbol":"BINANCE:BTCUSD","width":350,"height":220,"isTransparent":false,"autosize":false,"dateRange":"12M","trendLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,1)","underLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0.6)","underLineBottomColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0)","locale":"en","largeChartUrl":false,"colorTheme":"dark"}</script> 
 </div> 
 <div class="tradingview--mini-chart--light"> 
  <script type="text/javascript" src="https://s3.tradingview.com/external-embedding/embed-widget-mini-symbol-overview.js" async>{"symbol":"BINANCE:BTCUSD","width":350,"height":220,"isTransparent":false,"autosize":false,"dateRange":"12M","trendLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,1)","underLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0.6)","underLineBottomColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0)","locale":"en","largeChartUrl":false,"colorTheme":"light"}</script> 
 </div> 
 <div class="tradingview-widget-copyright">
  <a href="https://fr.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BINANCE" rel="noopener" target="_blank"><span class="text-primary-color">BTCUSD chart</span></a> by TradingView
 </div> 
</div>  
<p>The key to the reversal, according to Hayes, lies in <strong>investor psychology</strong>. Those who bought crypto during the euphoria of the 2023-2024 bull run may find themselves <strong>trapped in a selling spiral</strong>, while those who stayed out risk seeing the recovery slip through their fingers. Hayes does not hide his strategy:</p> 
<p>« <em>If the market plunges after Trump’s inauguration, I will be there to buy at low prices, because there will definitely be a rebound at some point.</em> » </p>
<div class="my-4">
 <div class="ads " data-page-type="" data-location="2"> 
 </div> 
</div> 
<div class="wp-block-image"> 
 <figure class="aligncenter size-large">
  <img decoding="async" src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F71c19a7b-5d1b-418f-9db8-eefc8e26e8ee_1600x508.png" alt="bitcoin-credit-bancaire-USA">
  <figcaption class="wp-element-caption">
   Bitcoin (yellow) drives an increase in American bank credit (white) – Source: CryptoHayes
  </figcaption>
 </figure>
</div> 
<p>But beware, this is not a forecast of immediate gains. « <em>There is a timing to respect</em> », he warns, mentioning <strong>a slow re-evaluation of the crypto market in 2025</strong>.</p> 
<p>Let’s not forget that last November, Hayes already predicted that Donald Trump would not be <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/hayes-takes-trump-apart-and-reveals-the-trigger-for-the-next-crypto-bull-run/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the trigger for the next bitcoin bull run</a>. According to him, it is China that will play a decisive role in the relaunch of crypto, while the Trump effect will only be a mirage.</p>

Crypto: Trump’s Inauguration Will Trigger A Massive Collapse, Predicts Hayes

Table of Contents

Cointribune EN

Other articles published on Dec 19, 2024

Introduction to AFITR - A Fork in the Road

Qubetics’ $15 Price Target Elevates It to the Best Cryptos of the Month Alongside Avalanche’s Upg...

Didn’t Invest in Dogecoin’s Glory Days? Don’t Miss Out on the Best New Meme Coin Presale Now!

Bitcoin Reclaims $100K Amid Mixed Market Sentiment

Best Meme Coins to Join for Short Term: BTFD Coin’s Presale Sees Explosive Growth as Ponke and Fl...

Will Trump’s Return Shape Crypto Market Trends?

Join our free newsletter for daily crypto updates!