bullish

Jerome Powell

Bitcoin

Arthur

Daily

<p>This week, bitcoin takes us on a new dance between trembling hopes and very real risks. Between technical analyses, macro data, and market signals, the suspense is total. So, are you ready to take stock together of what this new crypto adventure has in store for us? Follow the guide!</p>
<h2 id="h-5-things-to-know-about-bitcoin-this-week">5 things to know about bitcoin this week</h2>
<p>The bitcoin market is moving, trembling, hesitating… and with it, the emotions of investors. Here are the 5 key points to absolutely know this week to avoid navigating blindly in this choppy sea.</p>
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<h3 id="h-bitcoin-traders-sense-the-storm-coming">Bitcoin traders sense the storm coming</h3>
<p>Bitcoin is flirting with its highest peaks of the last two weeks… but behind the scenes, traders are tense. Despite a surge of nearly 15% from its recent lows, the atmosphere is far from euphoric. After recently going <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-rises-above-85000-and-avoids-a-major-drop/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">above 85,000 dollars</a>, CrypNuevo, sensing a new jolt orchestrated by market makers, anticipates a return of BTC around 80,000 dollars.</p>
<p>HTL-NL, for its part, sees 90,000 dollars as a ceiling before the reversal. Even Arthur Hayes speaks of a spike to 110,000 dollars followed by a 30% correction. Suffice it to say that calm is relative, and the market could still surprise us.</p>
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<h3 id="h-the-pce-index-the-surprise-guest-of-the-week">The PCE index: the surprise guest of the week</h3>
<p>On Thursday, March 28, we have an appointment with the PCE, this inflation index loved by the FED. In February, it had already calmed things down. If it remains under control, it could give a bit of oxygen to risky assets, including bitcoin. Especially since the market firmly believes in a rate decrease by June 2025.</p>
<p>But beware: with the <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/april-is-going-to-hurt-bitcoin-miners-and-heres-why/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">increase in bitcoin mining difficulty expected for April</a>, the hikes in customs tariffs during the same month could further jam the machine. Jerome Powell has said: inflation of goods, largely, comes from that. So, good news or bad surprise? Verdict at the end of the week.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="512" src="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171-1024x512.webp" alt="The crypto market firmly believes in a rate decline by June 2025." class="wp-image-789262" srcset="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171-1024x512.webp 1024w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171-300x150.webp 300w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171-768x384.webp 768w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171-1536x768.webp 1536w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3171.webp 2000w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px">
 <figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Probable rate decline in June 2025</em>
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<h3 id="h-rsi-the-small-signal-that-could-change-everything">RSI: the small signal that could change everything</h3>
<p>Among the indicators that traders love, RSI is playing the seducer this week. On daily to weekly charts, it is attempting a bullish breakout, abandoning a bearish trend that has lasted since November. Rekt Capital and Matthew Hyland see it as a nice sign of a bullish continuation.</p>
<p>Currently, the daily RSI is hovering around 51.4, a key level. It may be subtle, but in the world of bitcoin, this kind of sign can sometimes be the starting point for a nice surge. To be watched closely as the bullish trend of <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC</a> is at stake.</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="723" src="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172-1024x723.jpeg" alt="Currently, the daily RSI is hovering around 51.4, a key level. It may be subtle, but in the world of bitcoin." class="wp-image-789265" srcset="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172-1024x723.jpeg 1024w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172-300x212.jpeg 300w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172-768x542.jpeg 768w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172-1536x1084.jpeg 1536w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3172.jpeg 1794w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px">
 <figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Daily RSI around 51.4</em>
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<h3 id="h-small-bitcoin-investors-in-trouble">Small bitcoin investors in trouble</h3>
<p>Short-term holders (STH), these investors who have had their BTC for only a few months, are going through a complicated period. According to Glassnode, their unrealized losses have exploded, flirting with critical levels. The result: some are panicking and selling at a loss. This explains the <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-short-term-traders-have-lost-big/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">100 million dollars lost</a> a few days ago by short-term traders.</p>
<p>In one month, we talk about 7 billion dollars gone. That’s huge, but far from the records of 2021-2022. The bitcoin market is purging the most fragile, as often. Those who hold firm might well reap the rewards… provided they have a strong heart.</p>
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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-1024x576.jpeg" alt="Short-term holders (STH), these investors who have had their BTC for only a few months, are going through a complicated period. In one month, we talk about 7 billion dollars gone." class="wp-image-789268" srcset="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-300x169.jpeg 300w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-768x432.jpeg 768w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3173-scaled.jpeg 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px">
 <figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Bitcoin short-term holders (STH) are losing a lot of money.</em>
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<h3 id="h-binance-always-at-the-heart-of-the-game">Binance, always at the heart of the game</h3>
<p>And in the meantime, Binance is thriving. The stablecoin reserves on the platform reached a new record: over 31.8 billion dollars. A number that speaks volumes about the renewed confidence of investors. These funds, well protected, are waiting for the right moment to be deployed.</p>
<p>For some, this is a sign that the market is lying in wait. Binance remains the king of volume, and if the capital is there, it may be because a next movement is preparing. A strategic calm before a new bullish storm? Will bitcoin benefit from this surge?</p>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174-1024x576.png" alt="The stablecoin reserves on Binance reached a new record: over 31.8 billion dollars." class="wp-image-789271" srcset="https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174-1024x576.png 1024w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174-300x169.png 300w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174-768x432.png 768w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174-1536x864.png 1536w, https://www.cointribune.com/app/uploads/2025/03/IMG_3174.png 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px">
 <figcaption class="wp-element-caption"><em>Stablecoin reserves are booming on the Binance platform.</em>
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<h2 id="h-what-posture-to-adopt-this-week">What posture to adopt this week?</h2>
<p>Bitcoin is really advancing like a tightrope walker. On one hand, technical indicators like the RSI suggest a potential rebound; on the other hand, experienced traders fear a sharp pullback to 80,000 dollars. Add to that the PCE and tariff tensions… and you have an explosive cocktail. So, what posture to adopt?</p> 
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  <script type="text/javascript" src="https://s3.tradingview.com/external-embedding/embed-widget-mini-symbol-overview.js" async>{"symbol":"BINANCE:BTCUSD","width":350,"height":220,"isTransparent":false,"autosize":false,"dateRange":"12M","trendLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,1)","underLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0.6)","underLineBottomColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0)","locale":"en","largeChartUrl":false,"colorTheme":"dark"}</script>
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  <script type="text/javascript" src="https://s3.tradingview.com/external-embedding/embed-widget-mini-symbol-overview.js" async>{"symbol":"BINANCE:BTCUSD","width":350,"height":220,"isTransparent":false,"autosize":false,"dateRange":"12M","trendLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,1)","underLineColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0.6)","underLineBottomColor":"rgba(253,64,19,0)","locale":"en","largeChartUrl":false,"colorTheme":"light"}</script>
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 <div class="tradingview-widget-copyright"><a href="https://fr.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BINANCE" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" target="_blank"><span class="text-primary-color">BTCUSD chart</span></a> by TradingView
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<p>Stay clear-headed, agile, and ready to react. Neither euphoria nor panic: just a good dose of cold blood. It is in these moments of uncertainty that the best decisions are made. Keep an eye on key supports, and do not let emotions drive your movements.</p>
<p>Thus, bitcoin offers us a week full of promises… and traps. Between technical signals, macro tensions, and market behaviors, every movement counts. So stay curious, vigilant, and a bit patient, especially at this moment when the <a href="https://www.cointribune.com/en/bitcoin-accounts-for-1-3-of-the-worlds-money/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow">BTC has just reached 1.3% of the global currency</a>.</p>

Bitcoin Under Pressure This Week With Conflicting Macro And Technical Signals

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